Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.235413 3.210367e-01 0.421849 0.547289 0.697152 0.868491 1.077171
2026-01-11 0.115958 2.090582e-01 0.339013 0.524175 0.771715 1.082123 1.491258
2026-01-18 0.055506 1.393043e-01 0.279936 0.508043 0.844287 1.298467 1.933977
2026-01-25 0.026801 9.854864e-02 0.244311 0.510624 0.936846 1.547423 2.441153
2026-02-01 0.010353 6.444614e-02 0.202665 0.489074 0.985766 1.736973 2.881411
2026-02-08 0.004593 4.957791e-02 0.190346 0.512313 1.104386 2.034408 3.490091
2026-02-15 0.001425 3.516889e-02 0.170101 0.513539 1.183901 2.276668 4.031799
2026-02-22 0.000529 2.966598e-02 0.170150 0.555224 1.336906 2.641597 4.771151
2026-03-01 0.000107 2.344303e-02 0.163616 0.580074 1.460668 2.966125 5.463271
2026-03-08 0.000002 1.694480e-02 0.150420 0.585261 1.546584 3.232502 6.076506
2026-03-15 NaN 1.106405e-02 0.132779 0.573660 1.596901 3.440677 6.606190
2026-03-22 NaN 7.966680e-03 0.124545 0.584250 1.691546 3.727424 7.268148
2026-03-29 NaN 5.198353e-03 0.113621 0.585097 1.768193 3.991226 7.910865
2026-04-05 NaN 2.724804e-03 0.097368 0.564031 1.795083 4.168838 8.422120
2026-04-12 NaN 1.329152e-03 0.084488 0.548645 1.831744 4.364849 8.969647
2026-04-19 NaN 7.049701e-04 0.077717 0.552205 1.911549 4.642769 9.660779
2026-04-26 NaN 2.161511e-04 0.065600 0.529835 1.926770 4.800654 10.155847
2026-05-03 NaN 1.211497e-04 0.064957 0.554646 2.059000 5.184286 11.041707
2026-05-10 NaN 3.261321e-05 0.059481 0.556059 2.132720 5.458921 11.749326
2026-05-17 NaN 2.421071e-05 0.062906 0.600200 2.318625 5.956108 12.848708
2026-05-24 NaN 8.819594e-06 0.062630 0.626487 2.460273 6.371787 13.816722
2026-05-31 NaN 4.616935e-07 0.058462 0.631982 2.548069 6.685264 14.615439
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.051540 0.619738 2.587329 6.904196 15.254942